窮小子冷眼輯

【蔡英文說想想】:

【葉門之戰-沙烏地阿拉伯能不能穩定秩序？】

【蔡英文說想想】： 【葉門之戰-遜尼與什葉，誰主浮沈？】 

【蔡英文說想想】:【葉門之戰-歷史與文化，誰主報復與清理？】 

POSTED BY 台灣窮小子 APRIL 8 2015

While Saudi Arabia has been gained successfully from the Arab League and the Organization for Islamic Cooperation which expressed it properly operate military intervention in Yemen.
The single shown that Saudi Arabia have thought and prepared , so what is the next that how will to end it , and ensure the the military intervention will not become instability of situation.
Indeed , since the beginning of rebel forces against the central government back in September 2014 , which encountered with almost no military resistance ; and than , they have been successful in expanding their areas of control in the province of Saada , than expanded to the capital ; in particular , President Hadi owns overwhelming support , even , who has signed an economic partnership agreement with Iran.
Nonetheless , why the Saudi Arabia felt out-of-sort? Put simply , he is alienating the partners of the Arabian Peninsula - with the oddity of Iran.
Especially , they disdained to do all previous UN and the Security Council statements , in addition to denied negotiations , in which , in order to be the most dreadfully , they alienated all from Islamists partners , in particularly , they ousted President Saleh's regime.
Given these circumstances , the Saudi Arabia intervention suggests : first , the Arab League ntervention is more effective than the global intervention.
That is definitely not the case for the United States is counterattacking the Islamic State (ISIS) in Iraq and Syria.
Furthermore , the Arab League ntervention draws a red-line in the Iranian intervention.
In fact , it is unlikely Iran will provide so much political and diplomatic supports in a certain extent.
In other words , it is obvious that it will be likely to lead ending this area's suffering , and the solution is in the Yemen and Syria, not in American leadership.
Although the decisive storm sounds like a bit of an ambitious claim , but at least , solid the Arab League might have changed the current chaos - situation.
Moreover , the Saudi Arabia's new King Salman's leadership, who claims new foreign policy to reduce tensions , and counterattack the growing influence of the Muslim Brotherhood.
In the end , the future of decisive storm as it should be by rights , also for historical reasons , after all , Yemen is almost sensitive to external interventions , but interventions cannot replace Yemen.

【THE BATTLE OF THE YEMEN -

WILL SAUDI ARABIS STABILIZE ORDER , OR NOT？】

雖然，沙烏地阿拉伯成功地取得阿拉伯國家聯盟與聯合國的伊斯蘭合作組織的支持，正當地操作軍事干預在葉門；

信號顯示是沙烏地阿拉伯曾經考慮與準備；

是以，下一步可能是如何結束並確保軍事干預，不會變成不穩定局面！

其實，叛軍在2014年九月政變開始，幾乎沒有遭遇軍事抵抗，

然後，擴大他們的控制區在Saada省，然後，擴大到首都；

特別是，總統Hadi 擁有壓倒性支持，甚至與伊朗，簽署經濟夥伴關係的協議！

然而，為什麼沙烏地阿拉伯感覺不爽呢?

簡單來說，他偏離阿拉伯半島的夥伴，伊朗除外！

特別是，他們鄙視所有的，過去聯合國與安理會聲明，並且，拒絕談判；

其中，最讓人擔憂的是他們遠離所有的伊斯蘭夥伴，特別是，攆走Saleh政權！

有鑑於這類狀況，沙烏地阿拉伯的干預說明:

首先，阿拉伯聯盟的干預比全球干預更實在；

這絕對不相關於美國正在反擊伊斯蘭國（ISIS）在伊拉克和敘利亞的狀況；

此外，阿拉伯聯盟的干預，區別伊朗干預阿拉伯國家的紅線！

其實，伊朗是不可能提供太多，在一定程度上，政治與外交支持！

換句話說，很明顯地，可能導致結束該區的痛苦；

而解決方案是在葉門與敘利亞，而不是在美國領導！

雖然，決定性風暴乍聽之下，像是一個有野心主張，

但是，至少，一個堅定的阿拉伯聯盟可能改變當前的混亂情勢！

此外，新的沙烏地阿拉伯國王Salman領導，宣示新外交政策來降低緊張情勢，

與反擊越來越大穆斯林兄弟會的影響力！

最後是，未來決定性風暴是理所當然的；

介入也是歷史的原因，畢竟，葉門幾乎是外力干預，但是，干預不會取代葉門！