窮小子冷眼輯

蔡英文說想想－伊拉克危機(三)

面對ISIS威脅

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POSTED BY 台灣窮小子 JUNE 14 2014

端視，ISIS，已經取得伊拉克和敘利亞北部城市，完全控制；

所以，為什麼ISIS擁有成功的機會？

ISIS將表達的理念是甚麼?

美國與伊拉克政府的部署?

簡單來說，這應該一起解決?

其實，伊拉克和敘利亞在伊斯蘭國家，關於ISIS的爭論，由來以久；

現在，重點可能是轉移到美國的反應與該區域國家，包括，伊拉克政府；

台灣窮小子觀察到一個關鍵問題是，在過去八年裡，伊拉克政府缺乏包容；

特別是，涉入到指責遜尼派領導，或忽略古老的歷史與文化已經建立另類的極端主義與恐怖主義；

特別是，在過去幾年，年輕人實現了快速成長；

另言之，伊拉克政府包容什葉派和遜尼派之間的宗派分歧，終結歷史，以整合一個有凝聚力的部署；

雖然，這是一條很遠的路，但是，建立一個穩定的政治基礎，可能是解決伊拉克危機的安全要素！

第二個問題是該區域的國家，如何回應ISIS，特別是，伊朗；

不可否認，這是很困難地想像伊朗，因為它是什葉派佔多數的國家；
雖然，也支持敘利亞，這是ISIS不爽的理由，或尋求建立一個新的伊斯蘭國家！

另外是，沙烏地阿拉伯一個遜尼派國家，如果，ISIS坐大，那暴力事件還會再度上升；

最後是，土耳其，即使是北約會員國，也無可避免將面對暴力影響！

總之，這次不需要美國的地面部隊；

關鍵是美國與伊拉克可能需要重新建立安全和情報機制，合作，有效地隔離，叛亂份子，甚至，包容因應；

換句話說，美國可能重新審視，現實與決心，來改變，共同開發一個強力的，整合的政策部署；

畢竟，伊拉克與敘利亞將面對相互關聯的挑戰！

IRAQ'S CRISIS(3)－RESPOND TO THE ISIS THREAT
POSTED BY 台灣窮小子 JUNE 14 2014

According with ISIS has gained complete control of the northern city in Iraq and Syria.
So,why is CSIS owning chances for success?
What concepts expressed are ISIS?
What are deployments between the United States and Iraqi government ?
Put simply,this should resolve with together.
Indeed,there has reignited a debate about ISIS in Iraq and Syria for a long time,now,perhaps that the point is movably to the US's react and this regional countries,including Iraqi administration.
台灣窮小子 observes that a key question is to Iraq's government lacks of inclusion for the past eight years,in particular,when it comes to reaching out to be accused by Sunni leadership.Or,they ignored the age-old of history and culture have created the special for extremist and terrorist,especially,young people are to achieve the rapid gains over the past years.
In turn,Iraq's government is inclusive of the sectarian divide between the Shia and Sunni,in which,in order to end of history to integrate a cohesive deployment,however,this would go a long way toward,but more stable political foundation that will be probably to solve Iraq's crisis security problems.
The second question is that how this regional countries react to ISIS,in particular,Iran.
It cannot debied that it is so tough to imagine Iran,because it is a Shia-majority country,although,they also support Syria.That's what reason of feeling out-of-sort of ISIS,that seeks to establish a new Islamist country.
In addition to Saudi Arabia, a Sunni country,if ISIS becomes bigger,that violence will rise back up again.
Finally,Turkey is,and in spite of a NATO member that will also be unavoidable to face impacted by the violence.
In short,this time does not need the US's troop on the ground.
The key is that the US and Iraq will be probably to have mechanisms to re-build security and intelligence ; cooperation - an effective is to isolate insurrectionists,even with inclusive response.
In other words,the US will reexamine its reality and determination to change,in which,in order to work together to develop a powerful,integrated policy deployment.
After all,Syria and Iraq will face challenges with interlinked.