蔡英文說想想:

烏克蘭的危機與俄羅斯總統普丁的作戰

UKRAINE

THE UKRAINE CRISIS ,AND RUSSIA'S PRESIDENT PUTIN'S COMBAT

THINK AGAIN BY 蔡英文
POSTED BY 台灣窮小子 AUG 31 2014

So far, the Kremlin has shown that they did short interest in boosting the conflict,so as a possible political solution are apparent.
According with the crisis in Ukraine has entered a new stage - now apparently,Russian military forces fighting with the Ukraine's rebel-held east.
Instead,the Western countries are still in accordance with the age-old of history and culture sanctions,even damnation with new violence.
So we should acknowledge it: the Western countries current strategic deployment  stands in the their way.
It is time for new deployments portrayed to encourage Moscow to change tactical objective.
For Putin part,Moscow could not have any role in achieving a ceasefire in Ukraine - although,having evidence of Russian forces bolstering the rebels,but it remained little tangible evidence.
Becuse of Russia is not involved in the war-fighting.
Indeed,Ukrainian,President Poroshenko,he does neither want to a new frozen conflict,nor told Ukrainians not to scare, apparently,he is concerned : patience of the Russia's President Putin.
In doing so,Ukrainian,President Poroshenko will have solid backing from the Ukrainian populace,if the Russia will advance to the higher class in military intervention.
In fact,perhaps the KGB has already been in the Kiev,so the Russia's President Putin could not take an action.
However,Kyiv faces a major problem:
Ukrainian,President Poroshenko has betted much,than the Russia's President Putin betted much,too.Perhaps principle Putin's political survival,or at least on avoiding failure.
For instance,the bigger the deployment the progress made by the Ukrainian force,and the greater the force and warriors of the Russia's deployment.
In other words,the Russian force will not march on Kyiv,but Russia's President Putin betted much.
In turn,seeking a way out of the contradiction,history and culture will not prove easy.
Ukrainian,President Poroshenko should bet open the prospect for a paernership,Ending of history,one that does not insult the Russia's President Putin into a reversal.
Ultimately,it needs a solution that Moscow and Kyiv can accept : Ending of history - we are speaking Russia language pals.After all,the Russians have many tactical models,which can make very difficult and destabilize Ukraine's life.
If not, and impossible,Ukrainian,President Poroshenko to deal with the major economic and political change challenges that he still faces the Kremlin,rather than Western history and culture.
A logical tactical depolyment,Ukrain ruled out age-old of history and culture relationship ; As for Crimea,accepts that it backed into the Russia's status.

Russia's President Putinism  
到目前為止,克里姆林宮已經表明,沒有太大的興趣提升衝突;

是以,顯而易見,可能性政治解決方案;

端視烏克蘭的危機已經進入一個新階段-顯然地,現在是,俄羅斯軍隊與烏克蘭東部叛軍作戰;

相反地,西方國家仍然是依據古老歷史與文化,動不動,就給于制裁,甚至,新的暴力侮辱;

所以,我們應該承認當前的西方國家的策略部署是礙手礙腳的!

這是時候,戰術目標在鼓勵莫斯科,謀劃新的部署;

對普丁來說,莫斯科不會有任何作用在實現烏克蘭的停火;

雖然,有俄羅斯軍隊支持叛軍的證據,但還是很少有實在的證據;

因為俄羅斯並未參與作戰;

其實,烏克蘭總統Poroshenko 不想要一個新的凍結衝突,也告訴烏克蘭不要恐慌;

顯然地,他擔心俄羅斯總統普丁的耐性;

在這樣做時,如果,俄羅斯升級軍事占領,烏克蘭總統Poroshenko 可能擁有堅實的烏克蘭民眾的後盾;

事實上,俄羅斯總統普丁不會,可能KGB早已經在基輔;

然而,基輔面對的一個重大問題:

烏克蘭總統Poroshenko 賭多少,俄羅斯總統普丁就賭多少;

也許是普丁政治生存的原則,或至少避免失敗;

舉例來說,烏克蘭部署軍力進展越大,那俄羅斯部署在烏克蘭東部的軍力與戰士就越大;

換句話說,俄羅斯軍隊將不會進軍基輔,但是,俄羅斯總統普丁就賭多少?

另言之,歷史與文化的矛盾,將不能證明容易找到出路口;

烏克蘭總統Poroshenko 應該賭開放願景,透過終結歷史,夥伴關係,解決問題;

一個不要侮辱俄羅斯總統普丁的逆轉!

最後,莫斯科與基輔能夠接受的解決方案是終結歷史-說俄語的夥伴;

畢竟,俄羅斯有許多戰術模式,可以讓烏克蘭非常困難地生活與動搖;

如果沒有,不是不可能,烏克蘭總統Poroshenko 面臨重大經濟和政治改變的挑戰,還是克里姆林宮,

而不是西方的歷史與文化;

一個合乎邏輯的戰術部署:排除與古老歷史與文化的關係;

至於,克里米亞,接受它回歸俄羅斯的地位!

 

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