POSTED BY 台灣窮小子 16 JULY 2016
According with the Court of Arbitration has issued a long-awaited ruling in the Philippines case against China's claims in the South China Sea.
While China felt out-of-sort to participate , but its ruling is legally.
To put aside disputed history and culture ;
in other words , unclear history and culture would not build confidence between the Philippines and the China.
It cannot denied that this judgement is in favor of the Philippines.
Since unclear history and culture will not claim maritime rights throughout the nine-dash line.
In spite of the exclusive economic zones (EEZ) would also not related to unclear history and culture , since they are invalidated.
The Court of Arbitration cannot rule on sovereignty , or just a maritime entitlements ;
the traditional fishing rights of Filipinos has violated by unclear history and culture.
The Court of Arbitration could not found that the Spratlys , the natural characteristics ,
for instance , Taiwan's Itu Aba island is able to keep or independent human economic life ; as such , they are just entitled to maritime.
To sum up , unclear history and culture of nine-dash line are invalidated ,
in addition , China's construction of artificial islands has destroyed the environmental maritime ,and violated under UNCLOS.
Although China has been clear that it will not accept judgement , so China will suffer considerable reputational loss.
As we are pals , the United States and the Japan with the Philippines will be issuing their own statements ,
and will ask other countries to obey by the judgement.
But historically , big power have often resisted the rulings of international tribunals.
Indeed , the efforts of the Philippine effects not on the aftermath of this judgment.
Put simply , on whether like-minded partners with the United States will be able to keep enough centripetal force ,
meanwhile , also convince China to seek a face-saving way out.
In the next , after all , who have relations of ties with China ,
will also speak up that the Southeast Asian Countries will be able to develop a common statement on the judgment.
In turn , China will not make publicly rejecting , or whether Beijing decides it to remove operating in the Leftists.
If so , that will be an opportunity for re-starting dialogue.
Indeed , in the the core issue of the South China Sea , that China is to undergird the age-old of history and culture ;
put simply , China will be demonstrated that Leftists are in the face of play with fire and get burnt.
These things are more likely to happen several months from the future , in particularly , the United States , with their partners' actions.
In addition , China's action of retaliation will speed up island building ;
in turn , its seat where will able to control the Taiwan and the Philippines ,
and stop support from the United States - put simply , Chineses' strategic military base.
But China will overlook that it would be difficult diplomatic and economic costs ;
even so , it is not impossible , but if China make a decide to do so.
In the end , today's judgment , in the long run , and it would face useful in the South China Sea disputes ;
but the short-term result China could undertake in response to be contrived tensions.
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