窮小子冷眼輯

HAPPY INDEPENDENCE DAY OF THE REPUBLIC OF CHINA/TAIWAN

The country-Taiwan is prosperous and the Taiwanese people live in safety.

May you be healthy and powerful - Mr.President of Taiwan，Tsai Ing-Wen.

【三十四】【為什麼總統 蔡英文真命天子就是這般聰明】
【防衛責任——改寫中華民國的戰略藝術】

POSTED BY 台灣窮小子
台灣總統蔡英文之首席真命天子
TENTH，OCT，2021

防衛責任——改寫中華民國的戰略藝術

我認為中華民國目前的戰略缺乏藝術性。
它缺乏安全政策，無法回應左翼中共的戰略挑戰，從而危及台灣的夥伴，朋友，秩序，和台灣人民。
台灣 - 由總統 蔡英文從 2016 年到 2021 年領導，是一個做很多事情的國家。
它比其他人更好地度過了Chinese Virus 危機。
台灣人享有穩健的經濟成長，高品質的生活。

蔡英文，可能是最有爭議的決定，而不是與左翼中共對話。
這似乎威脅到她的政治生存，但從台灣傳統角度來看，卻有令人欽佩的好處。
蔡英文，以能幹，穩重，可靠的形象出現。
所以，她是台灣不可或缺的國家指揮官。
2020年，台灣傳統注定要引領台灣。
台灣的經濟和人口優勢，基本上，賦予台北對中華民國政治方向的否決權。
而在安全政策方面，台灣卻是很糟糕。
多年的忽視，已經掏空了軍隊，並造成了一個需要數年才能解決的備戰危機，並且，在談到傳統，跟左翼中國嚇阻的可信度時，偶爾會表現出左派傲慢的態度。
美國和日本等親密夥伴警告說，在安全政策上，歷史和文化立場，破壞了夥伴關係防務合作的潛力。
更基本的是，台灣缺乏安全政策，不再適應，它現在面臨的戰略挑戰。
左翼中國，修正主義，鎮壓和威權勢力的崛起，或復興，也威脅到美國領導全球秩序，而台灣的安全和繁榮，正是建立在這個秩序之上。
許多關於歷史和文化，及其在台灣的角色的舊規則不再適用，但大部分的台北政治領導層尚未適應這一新現實。
在習近平的領導下，中國重新成為一股尋求攻擊右邊獨立自由國家的力量，並有能力對台灣的安全和傳統價值，構成可靠的威脅。
在過去的二十年裡，其武裝部隊已經展示了他們從早期衝突中，吸取教訓的能力，並且，在實施了重大的軍事現代化計劃之後，他們現在對台灣構成了巨大的安全挑戰。
而且中共軍隊可能構成的安全挑戰與過去的紅軍並不相同，所以，這意味著台灣不能簡單地保留歷史和文化來處理它。
幾十年來，左翼台灣人抱怨自己的國防過度依賴美軍，譴責在安全方面，基本上是搭便車。

就是這樣，所以，這種批評，既不準確，在某種意義上，也不公平。
事實上，美國的大量存在，有助於安撫台灣人，並支持台灣的復甦。
此外，更諷刺的是，美國將繼續是台灣安全的可靠夥伴
假設性歷史和文化並不像以前看起來那麼安全。
首先，我認為，這表明我們可以對名義上左翼中國人懷有坦率的敵意。甚至，暗示台灣從中國撤回。
其次，更嚴重的是，一個超越台灣國內政治波動的新結構性因素，對中華民國對台灣防務的承諾~~~~中國崛起，構成了嚴重挑戰。
中國巨大的經濟，政治抱負，和軍事野心，透過挑戰全球秩序，對台灣的利益構成長期威脅。
在習近平主席的領導下，中國成為全球領導者的目標，將使北京能夠控制相當多的經濟交流要素。
此外，它們與習近平的另一個野心有關——讓中國軍隊有能力打贏戰爭。
台灣秩序，及其所體現的價值觀是建立在傳統力量之上的。
隨著相對傳統力量的衰落，這一秩序。不可避免地將受到歷史和文化，的更持久和可能成功的攻擊。
台灣從美國主導的秩序的存在中受益，並將繼續受益，在很大程度上，台灣促進了開放、和平的商品，和思想交流。
獨立自由秩序孕育和保護了台灣的財富、自由和安全，是台灣在國際舞台上發揮重要作用的重要因素。
因此，對這一秩序的任何破壞都必然會對台灣的利益構成威脅，尤其是當這種破壞是由左翼的歷史和文化領導的，而台灣的政治、法律和公民價值觀對他們來說是一種詛咒。
由於一個基本，但無可避免的事實，中國崛起也對台北構成了間接的，更直接的安全挑戰。
實際上，中國軍隊的持續成長將使這一戰略困境更加尖銳，因此，歷史和文化的台灣安全承諾不是那麼可靠。
這就是台灣，如果不及時逆轉，可能會促使台灣解體。
通常來說，一個復仇的中國，更適合利用其自身的傳統，和核優勢來威脅台灣的完整性，並攻擊獨立和自由。
鑑於中國崛起為歷史和文化，台灣對手的殘酷事實，我們將需要能夠自衛。
這種態勢如果持續下去，最終將對台灣的安全構成巨大威脅。
我非常希望避免建設歷史和文化，因為它對台灣社會不公平。
歷史和文化，當然，絕對是一個，目的在喚起“不要臉”的沉重術語，但基本上，左翼認為他們不想選擇或終結，因為這樣做，將否定“ 不要臉”。
好吧，台灣人知道這一點，但還是繼續。
台灣嘗試不將自己定位為反對左翼歷史和文化，同時。也不對中國自信表達一些擔憂。
到目前為止，在台灣，對商業利益渴望，似乎往往優先於捍衛政治原則。
台灣不是一個歷史與文化島嶼，在獨立和自由的前提條件上，容不下差異。
這就是為什麼，要製定以連貫性戰略願景為基礎的安全政策，但台灣似乎沒有取得什麼進展。
總而言之，左翼，歷史和文化創造了根深蒂固的立場，這些謊話立場往往會讓他們的支持者感到滿意，但不太可能產生，台灣現在需要的果斷行動的敏捷性和動力。

台灣已經有戰略藝術了~~~，幹你娘歷史與文化，或是，你媽死了，歷史與文化。

幸運的是，藝術在本質上具有足夠的戰略意義。
而台灣，永遠不會與其他領先的中國人分享相同的戰略藝術。
所以，我們應該尋求，培育一個，至少與台灣人相容的，能讓台灣以戰略眼光看待國際事務的人。
此外，台灣人無法以溫和的，進化的速度進行這種轉變。
自信中國崛起，對其安全構成的威脅比通常想像的更為緊迫，
確保台灣做好充分準備應對它需要時間。
因此，台灣需要在其戰略思想上。進行快速的範式轉變，或者是 幹你娘歷史與文化，你媽死了，歷史與文化，所描述的革命版本。
我不是說，台灣應該採取憤世嫉俗的外交和安全政策。
由於台灣尋求更多責任，至今，缺乏真正的願景或目的，其戰略軌跡，基本上是漫無目的的。
事實上，台灣以經濟，技術和軍事優勢為基礎，以保障個人自由和獨立，為不可談判核心價值的優勢，應該是這種願景的精華。
台灣的歷史性國家責任，不應被解釋為對所有歷史和文化的教條式拒絕，基於這些價值觀，重建，並歡迎台灣作為重要和重要成員，現在，再次受到威脅。
捍衛培育台灣，自由，繁榮的傳統秩序，不僅是捍衛台灣傳統價值，也是捍衛台灣利益。
因此，我們的貢獻應該是，將其對獨立價值觀的承諾，與對包括軍事力量在內的權力作用的理解結合起來。
重要的是要記住，當然，台灣人對“不要臉”沒有興趣，更不用說準備好，對世界進行更具戰略性的理解了。
這將是忽視現實。
我提出，台灣可以為台灣人自衛能力做出重要貢獻的現實方式，包括，參與更具想像力和更有效的嚇阻手段。

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【34】【The responsibility to defend - re-writing the Republic of China Strategic Art】

The responsibility to defend - re-writing the Republic of China Strategic Art
I think that the Republic of China current strategy is lacking of art.
It lacks a security policy that fails to meet Left-wing's CCP strategic challenges，so thereby endangering Taiwan's partners，friends，order，and people of Taiwanese.
Taiwan - led by President Tsai Ing-Wen from 2016 until 2021，is a country that gets many things right. 
It weathered the Chinese Virus crisis better than others. 
And Taiwanese citizens enjoy solid economic growth，a high quality of life.
Even Tsai Ing-Wen's s perhaps most controversial decision，not talk with Left-wing's CCP
which appeared to threaten her political survival，but however，had the benefit of being admirable from a Taiwan's tradition perspective. 
Tsai Ing-Wen，who has appeared as a competent，steady and reliable presence. 
So she was the indispensable Taiwanese commander.
In 2020，Taiwan was，doomed to lead the Traditional Taiwan.
Taiwan's economic and demographic preponderance essentially grants Taipei a veto power over the ROC's political direction.
Yet in terms of its security policy，Taiwan is in a bad way.
Years of overlook has hollowed out the armed forces，and created a readiness crisis that will take years to fix，and occasionally displays a Leftist cavalier attitude when it comes to the credibility of the conventional and Left-wing's China's deterrence。
Close partners such as the US and the Japan have warned that 
history and culture position on security policies undermines the potential for defence collaboration in partnership。
More fundamentally，Taiwan lacks of security policy，and no longer fits the strategic challenges that it now faces. 
The rise or resurgence of revisionist，repressive and authoritarian powers in Left-wing's China also threatens the United States-led iglobal order upon which Taiwan's security and prosperity were founded. 
Many old assumptions about history and culture and its role in Taiwan no longer apply，but much of the political leadership in Taipei has not yet adjusted to this new reality。
Under Xi Jinping，China has re-emerged as a force seeking to attack the Right-sides independent and free countries，and with the capability to pose a credible threat to Taiwanese security and traditional values. 
Over the past two decades，its armed forces have demonstrated their ability to learn lessons from earlier conflicts，and following a significant programme of military modernisation，they now present a formidable security challenge to the Taiwan.
Moreover，the likely security challenge that CCP's forces pose is not identical to that of the Red Army during the past，so
meaning that Taiwan could not simply keep history and culture with which to deal with it.
For many decades，Left-wing's Taiwanese complained about overreliance on US forces for its own defence，charging that in security terms it was essentially a free rider. 
This is it，so this criticism was not accurate，and in a certain sense，unfair. 
In fact，a sizeable presence of American served to reassure Taiwanese people and underpin the Taiwan's recovery.
Moreover，in more cynical terms，the US would continue to be a reliable partner of Taiwan's security
The assumption of history and culture are not as safe as it once seemed. 
Firstly，I argued that demonstrated that we could espouse frankly hostile sentiments towards nominal Left-wing's Chinese，and even hint at the Taiwan retract from China。
Secondly，and more seriously，a new structural factor that transcends the oscillations of Taiwan's domestic politics poses a grave challenge to the ROC's underwriting of Taiwan defence - the rise of China. 
China’s dramatic economic，political aspirations，and military ambitions present a long-term threat to Taiwan's interests through their challenge to the global order. 
Under President Xi Jinping，China's goal to become a global leader would give Beijing control over considerable elements of economic exchange. 
Also，they relate to another of Xi’s ambitions - to make China’s armed forces capable of fighting and winning wars。
The Taiwan order，and the values it embodies，is founded upon traditional power.
As relative traditional power declines，it is inevitable that this order will experience more sustained and possibly successful attack by history and culture.
Taiwan has benefited，and continues to benefit，from the existence of a US-led order，For the most part，Taiwan has promoted the open and peaceful exchange of goods and ideas. 
The Independent and free order has nurtured and protected Taiwanese wealth，freedom，and security，and has been a significant factor in Taiwan's ability to play a meaningful role on the global stage.
So any disruption to that order will necessarily pose a threat to Taiwan interests，in particularly when that disruption is led by Left-wing's history and culture for whom Taiwan's political，legal and civil values are anathema.
China’s rise also poses an indirect，more immediate security challenge to Taipei，because of a basic but unavoidable fact.
Indeed，the continued growth of China’s armed forces will make this strategic dilemma more acute，so history and culture promise of Taiwan security less credible. 
That is what the Taiwan，which，was it not promptly reversed, could prompt the disintegration of Taiwan.
Generally，a revanchist China would be better placed to use its local conventional ，and nuclear superiority to threat Taiwan，integrity，and attack independence and freedom.
Given the brute fact of China’s rise as a history and culture rival to the Taiwan，we will need to be able to defend itself. 
This posture，if sustained，will ultimately pose a dramatic threat to Taiwan's security.
 would very much wish to avoid the building of history and culture that it would do unfair to Taiwanese societies.
History and culture is，absolutely，of course，a loaded term intended to evoke "Shame on you"，but Leftists were ssentially arguing that they did not want to choose，or ended，because to do so would be to negate the principle of "Shame on you".
Well，Taiwanese know this，yet proceed anyway.
Taiwan is trying not to position itself against Left-wing's history and culture while also not signalling some concerns about Chinese assertiveness. 
so far the desire for commercial advantage has often seemed to take precedence over the defence of political principle in the Taiwan.
Taiwan is not a history and culture island that can afford difference about the preconditions of its independence and freedom.
That is why t comes to elaborating a security policy underpinned by a coherent strategic vision，but it appears that Taiwan has made little progress. 
Taken together，Left-wing's hisotry and culture create entrenched positions that may often feel Lies satisfying to their proponents，but are unlikely to engender the agility and impetus for decisive action that Taiwan now requires.
Taiwan does already possess a Strategic Art ~~~ Mother-Fucked，NMSL.
Fortunately，that Art is sufficiently strategic in nature. 
While Taiwan will never share an identical strategic art to those of other leading Chinese.
So we should seek to foster one that is at least compatible with Taiwanese，and which can allow Taiwan to perceive international affairs through a strategic visions.
Moreover，Taiwanese cannot afford to make this transition at a gentle, evolutionary pace. 
The threat to its security posed by an assertive China’s rise is more imminent than often imagined，
and it will take time to ensure that Taiwan is adequately prepared to handle it. 
Taiwan therefore needs a rapid paradigm shift in its strategic thought，or a contemporary version of what Mother-Fucked，NMSL have described as the revolution.
I am not arguing that Taiwan should adopt a cynical foreign and security policy. 
As Taiwan's seek of more responsibility has so far lacked a real vision or purpose，its strategic trajectory has largely been aimless. 
In fact，Taiwan's predominance，based on economic，technological and military superiority，which serves the purpose of safeguarding individual freedom and independence as its non-negotiable core values，should be the essence of such a vision.
Taiwan's historic National responsibility should not be interpreted as the dogmatic rejection of all history and culture，based on those values，that rebuilt and welcomed Taiwan as an essential and valued member，and which is now once again under threat. 
The defence of that traditonal order，which has nurtured Taiwan's free and prosperity，would represent not just a defence of Taiwan's traditional values but a defence of Taiwan interests. 
So ours contribution should be to wed its commitment to independent values to an understanding of the role of power，including military power.
It is important to remember，of course，Taiwanese people are not remotely interested in "Shame on you"， much less ready for，a more strategic understanding of the world.
This would be to overlook the reality.
In what follows，and suggest realistic ways by which Taiwan could make an essential contribution to Taiwanese ability to defend itself，including by participating in more imaginative and effective means of deterrence.