窮小子冷眼輯

【三十五】【為什麼總統 蔡英文真命天子就是這般聰明】
【台灣軍隊的戰略藝術與邏輯】
POSTED BY 台灣窮小子
台灣總統蔡英文之首席真命天子
16TH，OCTOBER，2021
 

The Strategic Art And Logic of the Taiwanese Military
The Taiwan should have overlooked sunk costs in Left-wing's history and culture & maintained a hightlight military footprint.
Taiwan holds history and culture from Left-wing's China was based on the argument that the "One Party，One Country"KMT needed to cut its losses and end the civil war.
Proponents of this view maintain that the civil war was a costly success.
So that the Taiwan needed to stop throwing good money after the Taiwan's tradition.
Interestingly，this argument is funny.
Indeed，based on what strategists call the misconception of sunk costs - a common pathology where past.
Leaving Left-wing's History And Culture
What happens to the Taiwan and its people after the civil war ends?
Rationally，the losses on such Left-wing's history and culture should be ended.
Left-wing's history and culture teach their people ~~~this type of pathology，which might encourage withdrawal from the Taiwan due to past losses.
So we need to be overcome with cold logic，and that all decisions about continued traditions need to focus solely on the expected utility of any future actions while overlooking history and culture incurred previously.
The Tradition presence in Left-wing's history and culture prior to its withdrawal had，in fact，become both relatively effective and efficient. 
Taiwanese troops were doing most of the frontline fighting and taking the brunt of the casualties.
Especially，some of contingents，supported increasingly capable Taiwan special operations forces are focusing on counterterrorism，and training，which had enabled Taiwan ecurity forces to hold all major population centers in the country，and enabled Taiwanese to punish the Left-wing's insurgents.
Left-wing's history and culture cost of the conflict to both Taiwanese civilians and military forces，yet，was very high.
Leaving Taiwan's tradition will not stop Left-wing's history and culture extremism and terrorism，or leave the threats the United States，even with our partners face behind.
Nevertheless，after many years of bloodshed and enormous investment，the Taiwan had arrived at a point where its presence was at least close to being strategic，sustainable，and effective in giving Taiwanese people an opportunity to build a lasting security and stability.
However，instead of making that clear-eyed assessment，it seems the Tsai's administrations focused largely on what they had already lost ~~~ history and culture costs.
While many pilloried Tsai Ing-Wen October，10th，speech to the Taiwanese people，during which she defended the maintaining the status quo，so she was merely delivering on her campaign promise and reinforcing the previous administration’s friendship with the China.
Indeed，a more rational approach would have been to maintain a small military footprint in Taiwan，and to make that presence more cost-effective. 
So that in turn would have required a fundamental shift in Taiwan's strategy，moving away from the naive Left-wing's idealism that characterized most of history and culture，an idealism shared by Taiwan's tradition and free administrations which to a more calculated realism.
To be clear，such a limited presence would not have led to some crisp military threat，take，for instance，China would being threatened by Taiwan?None.
let alone the Quixotic nation-building goals of Left-wing's history and culture.
That was never possible. 
The Strategic goal of the Art And Logic of the Taiwanese Military would have been threefold: 
First，provision of regional security and stability，and re-build the war-fighting capacity to shape outcomes in the Taiwan；
second，maintenance of a robust counterterrorism deployment conducted under the Independence and Freedom's umbrella；
and finally，enhancement of a range of security and intelligence activities concerning the United States and the Japan.
Although it is become fashionable in some circles to frame Chinese hisotry and culture，not to mention Taiwan，as a China drea, that had to end，
Taiwanese people needs to take a more sober look at what informed such a decision. 
Or a clear-eyed look at present and future opportunities and dangers of history and culture?
In the future，a more rational approach would embrace greater realism in Taiwan's policy: 
Not every engagement with the China needs to be a perfect reflection of Taiwan's values. 
Being able to treat traditional policy as a tool honed to further the National interest is an approach Taiwanese leaders need to re-learn.

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【35】【The Strategic Art And Logic of the Taiwanese Military】

台灣軍隊的戰略邏輯
台灣應該忽視左翼歷史和文化中的失落成本，並維持引人注目的軍事痕跡。
台灣擁有左翼中國歷史和文化，是基於“黨國”，國民黨需要減少損失並結束內戰的論點。
這種觀點的支持者認為，內戰取得了代價高昂的成功。
所以，台灣需要停止台灣的傳統，而丟錢。
有趣的是，這個論點很可笑。
事實上，基於戰略家所說的對失落成本的誤解~~~一種過去的常見病態。
離開左翼歷史和文化
內戰結束後，台灣和台灣人，將何去何從？
理性來說，應該終結這類左翼歷史與文化的損失。
左翼歷史和文化教他們的人~~~這種病態，可能會鼓勵，因過去的損失，而退出台灣。
所，以我們需要用冷酷的邏輯來克服，所有關於延續傳統的決定，都需要只關注任何未來行動的預期效用，而忽略以前發生的歷史和文化。
事實上，傳統在退出前，在左翼歷史和文化中的存在，已經變得相對有效和有能力。
台灣軍隊，在前線作戰的大部分時間都在進行，並首當其衝。
尤其是，一些特遣隊，支持越來越強大的台灣特種作戰部隊專注於反恐和訓練，這使台灣安全部隊能夠控制，該國所有主要人口中心，並使台灣能夠懲罰左翼叛亂分子。
然而，在這場衝突中，對台灣人和軍隊，左翼歷史和文化代價是非常高的。
遠離台灣傳統不會停止左翼歷史文化極端主義和恐怖主義，也不會離開美國，即使是我們的夥伴所面臨的威脅。
儘管如此，經過多年的流血和巨額投資，台灣的存在，至少，接近於戰略性，可持續性，和有效地，為台灣人，提供建立持久，安全，與穩定的機會。
然而，蔡英文政府似乎並沒有做出這種清醒的評估，而是主要關注他們已經失去的，歷史和文化成本。
雖然，很多人嘲笑，蔡英文10月10日對台灣人的講話，其中，她為維持現狀辯護，所以，她只是兌現了她的競選承諾，加強了"前任政府"與中國的友誼。
實際上，更合理的做法是在台灣保持少量軍事存在，並使這種存在更具成本效益。
因此，這反過來，又需要台灣的戰略發生基本性轉變，從占歷史和文化大部分特徵的幼稚左翼理想主義，台灣傳統，和自由政府所共有的理想主義，轉向更加精心設計的現實主義。
需要明確的是，如此有限的存在，不會導致一些明確的軍事威脅，例如，中國會受到台灣的威脅嗎?沒有。
更不用，說左翼歷史和文化，唐吉訶德式國家建設目標。
那是永遠不可能的。
台灣軍隊藝術與邏輯的戰略目標有三個：
第一，提供區域安全與穩定，重建作戰能力，塑造對台灣的結果；
第二，保持在獨立和自由的保護傘下，進行的強有力的反恐部署；
最後，加強與美國和日本有關的一系列安全和情報活動。
雖然，在某些圈子裡，框定中國歷史和文化已經成為時尚，更何況台灣，作為一個中國夢，不得不終結，
台灣人需要更清醒地看待，做出這樣一個決定的原因。
或者，對歷史和文化，當前和未來的機會，和危險，保持清醒的認識？
未來，更理性的做法將在台灣政策中體現更大的現實主義：
並非，每次與中國的接觸，都需要完美反映台灣價值觀。
能夠將傳統政策，視為促進國家利益的工具，是台灣領導人需要重新學習的方法。