【蔡英文說想想】:
【葉門之戰-遜尼與什葉,誰主浮沈?】
POSTED BY 台灣窮小子 MARCH 28 2015
Yemen , which has been a critical base in the U.S. counterterrorism , and to face al-Qa’ida in the Arabian Peninsula.
In turn , the stability of this area is determined by powerful military intervention , including the Yemen , which avoids the stability in the Arabian Peninsula.
THE DANGERS OF THE SUNNI INTERVENTION IN YEMEN
Indeed , the Iranian - Shia has been starting quietly a civil war in Yemen.
In other words , Yeman's Shia has already gotten supporting from Iran , and this is very dangerous single of tension ,
also shows crises the stability of the Arabian Peninsula.
While with the United States assistance ,
after all , the countries lack of the partners of war-fighting model and capability in the Arabian Peninsula that the U.S. air power is able to attack
ISIS ground operations.
In other words , even with enough the U.S. help , this can certainly bring about a degree of deterrence ,
but they are unlikely to be able to change the balance of regional power in the Arabian Peninsula.
In particular , if the airstrikes fail , the Arabian Peninsula countries must be intervened , especially , they will face the Iran.
Put simply , interventions of history and culture typically redouble conflict , and bringing about more ravage and death ,
so as in this case , the Arabian Peninsula countries with their internal problems and limited war-fighting capabilities cannot produce solutions.
For instance , an important American pal , and the global oil producers and the leader of the Arab world - Saudi Arabia ;
and its corruption challenges with their history and culture.
It will be probably to maul heavily Saudi Arabia's political will , military resources ,and finance - they both sides suffer.
This , history and culture are not likely to own the opportunities of success.
From my perspective , these are all mistaken history and culture bring the United States role in the intervention.
In turn , the Unites States should seek be seeking to dampen involvement of history and culture in the Arabian Peninsula countries ; otherwise ,
it will increase conflicts between the Sunni and Shia.
Eventually , the only good thing that the United States to support and military intervention make their awareness to prevent history and culture from
getting more deeply involved.
Because history provides a clear warning that the intervention of the Arabian Peninsula countries are unlikely to change.
So , the most difficult is also the best : persuade the Arabian Peninsula countries to understand freedom , rather than attack and intervention.
THE BATTLE OF THE YEMEN -
WHOSE DOMINATE UPS AND DOWNS BETWEEN THE LIFE OF THE SUNNI AND SHIA.
葉門曾經是美國反擊恐怖主義的一個關鍵基地來面對在阿拉伯半島-al-Qa’ida !
另言之,該區的穩定,包括葉門,還是取決於強大的軍事干預,以避免破壞在阿拉伯半島的穩定;
遜尼干預的危險在葉門
其實,伊朗什葉的作用已經悄然地啟動葉門內戰;
換句話說,葉門什葉派早已經取得伊朗支持,這是一個非常危險的緊張情勢的信號,
也顯示阿拉伯半島的穩定性危機!
畢竟,阿拉伯半島的國家缺乏夥伴作戰模式與能力;
雖然,美國的幫助特別是空中武力能夠打擊ISIS的地面作戰能力!
換句話說,即使擁有足夠的美國幫助,這當然能夠一定程度的嚇阻;
但是,他們不太可能改變阿拉伯半島的地緣力量平衡!
特別是,如果空中攻擊失敗,那阿拉伯半島國家必須干預,尤其是,面對伊朗!
簡單來說,歷史與文化的干預,通常加大衝突,造成更大的蹂躪與死亡;
是以在這種情況下,阿拉伯半島國家自身內部問題與有限的作戰能力,無法產生解決方案;
舉例來說,一個重要的美國夥伴,全球與阿拉伯世界的石油生產國與領導者-沙烏地阿拉伯,
他的歷史與文化腐敗挑戰,與缺乏決定性軍事干預能力!
這將可能重創沙烏地阿拉伯的政治意願,軍事資源,與財政-兩敗俱傷!
在這一點,歷史與文化不太可能有成功的機會!
從我的角度來看些都是錯誤的歷史與文化干預美國的作用
另言之,美國應該尋求限制阿拉伯半島國家歷史與文化的完全參與,否則,這將加大遜尼與什葉的衝突;
最後是,唯一的好處是,讓他們了解美國的支持與軍事干預來預防歷史與文化越來越深地介入!
因為歷史提供一個清楚的警告:阿拉伯半島國家的干預是不太可能改變!
所以,最困難的也可能是最好的:說服阿拉伯半島國家了解自由,而不是干預與打擊!
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