俄羅斯普丁,會不會,挑起戰爭?

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POSTED BY 台灣窮小子 MAY 11 2014

俄羅斯普丁不會挑起與烏克蘭的戰爭,但是,有鑒於古老的歷史與文化好鬥的風氣;

平心而論,這是越來越難以洗刷這樣的結論!

簡單來說,美國和歐洲,需要從更積極的行動來嚇阻古老的歷史與文化的任何機會;

克里米亞已經公投回歸在三月了,但是,俄羅斯想要半島的主導權;

烏克蘭,一個國家,不是符合俄羅斯的鄰居,與俄羅斯的一個顯著的夥伴關係;

自從克里米亞公投回歸,莫斯科,沒有做任何威脅,反倒是古老的歷史與文化,增加緊張情勢;

它試圖採取經濟制裁,迫使烏克蘭,甚至,克里米亞屈服;

簡單來說,羊癇風發作的歷史與文化!

事實上,俄羅斯普丁的協議聲明,似乎已經讓步,不干涉在烏克蘭東部進行的暴動;

如果,俄羅斯普丁想要佔領烏克蘭-軍事接管,他顯然可以這樣做,但是,他沒有;

換句話說,古老的歷史與文化,想要一個唬爛理由,迫使俄羅斯動武!

烏克蘭軍方,可能是錢不夠,但它會作戰;

依據烏克蘭民意顯示,絕大多數不希望與俄羅斯作戰,是以,這可能是醜陋和血腥的歷史與文化的興風作浪;

在這種情況下,幾乎肯定會賞俄羅斯一個巴掌,以幫助醜陋和血腥的歷史與文化;

或阻擋,烏克蘭與俄羅斯的夥伴關係;

不可否認,制裁有一定的影響,俄羅斯經濟可能會出現零成長在2014;

但是,直到今天,制裁不是主要目的!

自2000年以來,普丁提供俄羅斯民眾的妥協,包括,烏克蘭;

換句話說,同語言的夥伴關係,換取經濟成長和生活水平的不斷提高,降低醜陋和血腥的歷史與文化的政治空間!

總之.烏克蘭獨立與自由的手在烏克蘭的利益.而不是普丁的手裡.也不是醜陋和血腥的歷史與文化!


RUSSIA 1  

Can Russia's Putin provoke war,or not?
POSTED BY
台灣窮小子 MAY 11 2014

Russia's Putin cannot provoke war with the Ukraine,but,given the age-old of history and culture its bellicose tone,obviously,it is increasingly difficult to flee that conclusion.
Put simply,the United States and Europe need  to have any opportubities of deterring the age-old of history and culture from more positive action.
Crimea has re-turned by a referendum in March,but,Russia still wants predominance that peninsula.
Ukrainian,a Nation that not acquiescent Russia neighbor,and develop a significant partnership with the Russia.
Since referendum Crimea, Moscow has done nothing to threat, instead of the age-old of history and culture increase tensions.
It has tried to take economic sanction to enforce Ukrainian,even,Crimea who are being surrenderred.Put simply,epilepsy of history and culture.
Indeed,Russia's Putin's agreement to the statement seems to have been to give way,and not interferes to run an insurgency in Ukraine's east.
If Russia's Putin's wanted to occupy Ukraine -  takes over the military of Ukraine,he clearly could have done so,but,he did not.
In other words,the age-old of history and culture wants a BIG WORDS pretext to enforce Russia to use force.
The Ukrainian military may be no money enough,but it will fight ; accorcing with Ukrainians' polls show that an overwhelming number of people do not want to fight with the Russia.So,this can be ugly and bloody of history and culture to make trouble.
In that case,it almost certainly will slap harsher on Russia,and to help ugly and bloody of history and culture,or stop partnerships between the Ukrainian and the Russia.
It cannot denied that sanctions have had some impact,and Russia's economy would be experience zero growth in 2014.
But,untill now,the sanctions thus were not in primary purpose.
Since coming to power in 2000,Mr. Putin has offered Russian a trade-off,including the Ukrainian.In other words,Pre-Russia language of partnership,reduced ugly and bloody of history and culture political space in return for economic growth and rising living standards.
In short,independent and free hand regarding Ukraine's interests,rather than Putin's hand,and also not ugly and bloody of history and culture.


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