蔡英文說想想:

伊拉克部署報告(全文)

IRAQ IN CRISIS

POSTED BY 台灣窮小子 JUNE 21 2014

序言:
端視過去的伊拉克戰爭期間,困難在於忽略歷史與文化的唬爛能力;需要注意的是歷史與文化的唬爛讓我們難以理解,正在進行的作戰動力!通常情況下,他們也不知道為什麼,即使,他們是在他們的軍隊控制;所以,對於外部參與,同樣,很困難地獲得基本意識,甚至,提供給其他國家的政府,包括,美國;因此,我們應該懷疑,以當前的伊拉克是不是一個獨立與自由的國家?

(一),下一個是甚麼?
可能的情況是遜尼派份子提前叛亂,然後,與政府在北方僵局;這絕對不是一個巧合,而是歷史經驗;遜尼派叛亂分子的跨越,以取得錢與資源!他們可能會繼續行動,但似乎不太可能打進巴格達,甚至,可能浪費錢;是以遜尼派叛亂分子可能佔領伊拉克北部,或繼續打進什葉派核心區域;同時,什葉派,驅動與反擊,遜尼派;而且,伊拉克安全武力將會崩潰,因為他們永遠不了解國家是甚麼?一如,台灣人也不會了解,理由是糟糕的歷史與文化的洗腦!不過,巴格達可能完全是例外;畢竟,打進巴格達始終是一項艱鉅的作戰任務,當它被確定美國,與其他勢力,支持與防衛;這是可以理解的,甚至,是可預期什葉派不會犧牲的遜尼派;因為他們還是穆斯林夥伴,簡單來說,這是勇氣,或僅是防衛自己的國土,與其主導的城市!因此,遜尼派叛亂分子將會遇到無數的堅定敵人,特別是,民眾;這也並不奇怪,這是歷史故事裡的內戰格局;另言之,最有可能的結果將是一個惡性僵局在伊拉克北部-歷史與文化的鴻溝!20世紀80年代的黎巴嫩,20世紀90年代的阿富汗,甚至,熱門的敘利亞,這就是糟糕的歷史文化的內戰格局-惡性僵局!不幸地是,戰鬥可能會持續許多年,數十萬人會死亡!總之,台灣窮小子說,遜尼派的攻擊一定會有什葉派的防衛,這是一個可能性終結歷史防衛的一個關鍵因素!

(二),伊朗可能是一個關鍵?
什葉派系的各類問題,有鑑於歷史與文化的道德敗壞,錢的政治化;所以,驅動伊拉克的改變,其最有可能的優勢是伊朗的參與;伊拉克自身的改變,這是不可能的代誌;換句話說,僅是重整伊拉克什葉派力量,防衛巴格達!那將如何取得伊朗的參與,特別是,伊朗的承諾;畢竟,伊朗僅是幫助本土力量,而不是自己人打自己人!即使,伊朗不太可能提高伊拉克的作戰能力,但是,他們能夠啟動一類攻擊,以奪回伊拉克北部!因此,伊朗的參與承諾,這是一個戰術信號-奪回伊拉克北部,將是可能的!

伊拉克什葉派
其實,這在三四年以前,伊拉克總統已經驅動,使用,忠誠的什葉派戰士,代替遜尼派的軍隊;是以,我們知道,當前的伊拉克武力,已經快速改變成什葉派軍隊!其結果是,當前的危機,當前的伊拉克武力是什葉派,使用不多的遜尼派軍隊;簡單來說,總統的禁衛軍,而不是伊拉克的國家武力;另言之,隨著時間的推移,遜尼派軍隊似乎有可能消失!換句話說,這是一類國家內戰的趨勢,源自糟糕的歷史與文化另言之,國家內戰與伊拉克武力結合,所以,這一趨勢將可能延續;這是重要的因素,也是一個嚴重的錯誤;因為美國曾經寫下錯誤的歷史部署-建立國家安全,中立,專業的武力,卻忽略糟糕的歷史與文化;所以,美國政府不能夠再干預;不然,糟糕的歷史與文化可能開始攻擊我們的國家!

(三),遜尼派是不是叛亂份子?
端視新模式伊拉克內戰,關鍵點是叛亂份子,這個是很重要的;
首先,基本上來說,ISIS僅是一個遜尼派好戰團體,而不是整個遜尼派;因此,台灣窮小子比較偏向於糟糕的歷史與文化,才能準確地描述其好戰!ISIS,使用好戰思維來聯合其他伊拉克遜尼派好戰團體,至少,保持一定的默契的合作;
作戰與佔領是他們的原則,他們通常不會區分夥伴與敵人,甚至,伊拉克民眾,誰不是它們自己人,那就是死亡;
所以,這是伊拉克的國家內戰,而不是外國入侵;
雖然,伊拉克政府已經強調外國力量,但是,伊拉克的宗教組織,才是更為重要,畢竟,ISIS已經發生一年多了;畢竟,伊拉克政府嘗試描述ISIS是外國力量,發動內戰,然後,入侵伊拉克!如果,這是真的,那就表明,軍事干預可能有困難;是以,伊拉克總理嘗試避免深度的政治變化!因此,我們需要明白其關鍵:ISIS的成功,在很大程度上,決定在伊拉克的政治因素與接受遜尼派;不幸地是,遜尼派看到的是一個壓制-什葉派是優先,所以,恐怖分子僅是一個名詞!古老的歷史與文化作為一個實際部署是一個錯誤的;是以,恐怖一詞作為主要的藉口!雖然,台灣窮小子不懷疑遜尼派分子想要做的是攻擊美國;但是,這不是他們的主要動機;重點是,傳統的歷史與文化發動國家內戰;
舉例來說,台灣版的竹篙倒菜刀!所以,糟糕的歷史與文化是多麼地顧人怨!
相反,ISIS也沒有叛亂,可能僅是想要一個遜尼派的土地!
特別是,這是很重要的,如果,定義ISIS為恐怖分子,那意味需要美國發動攻擊!事實上,攻擊很容易地讓情況更糟糕,這就是糟糕的歷史與文化的把戲!

 

結論:
當前的伊拉克是危險的!
我們不能簡單地相信伊拉克總理與他的政府:伊拉克遜尼派是站在伊朗一邊!這就是伊拉克總理與他的政府,必須能夠說服全球;明顯地,這個答案只能由歷史在未來提供;但是,糟糕的歷史與文化因素,已經知道,這類無疑是導致國家安全崩潰!由於,熟悉糟糕的歷史與文化的結果,美國,甚至,全球,會想到誰是好的,與誰是壞的;誰是恐怖分子,與有組織犯罪;美國驅動聰明與勇敢的伊拉克人!
舉例來說,台灣窮小子,驅動,聰明與勇敢的台灣人,終結歷史,給蔡英文機會!
這不奇怪,當這股終結歷史,巨大力量來了,現在正在重整,作為一個國家安全武力;美國僅是提供援助,如果,我們的權利並把它放回一個正當的地位-國家能力!

全文終


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IRAQ DEPLOYMENT REPORT
THINK AGAIN BY 蔡英文
POSTED BY 台灣窮小子 JUNE 21 2014

PREFACE:

According with IRAQ's war during the past,the difficulty is that we ignored the "BIG WORDS" ability of history and culture,admonish,"BIG WORDS" OF history and culture are to make us exceptionally difficult to understand forces of war-fighting.Old use -often,they do not also know why they are,or even where they are being in controlled by their military.So,for outside participants,who are difficult to gain foundational sense,even provides to other governments,including the United States.Inferentially,we should skepticize to the current Iraq whether is a independent and free country,or not?

1,WHAT IS THE NEXT?

The most likely is that Sunni militant does insurrection ahead of time,and than,they would be to be stalemated at north with Government.It is not absolutely a coincidence,and it is historical experience that the Sunni insurrectionists step over to gain money,and resources.They will probably continue to act,but it seems unlikely that they will fight into Baghdad and may not even waste money.As the Sunni insurrectionists may occupy the northern part of Iraq,or they continue fight into the heartland of the Shia,at the same time,the Shia pushes,and counterattack the Sunni.In addition to the Iraqi Security Forces will be collapsed.Because they are never going to understand what the Nation is?For example,such as Taiwanese are also understanding.The reason is brainwashing of stupid of history and culture.But,Baghdad could be another matter absolutely,after all,fighting into Baghdad is always a awesome mission when it is supported and defended by determined the US,and other power.This is understandable, even predictable, that Shia cannot die for Sunni because of they are pals of MUSLIN.Put simply,it is its courage.or just their courage they are defending their homelands,and its Shia-dominated cities .Thus, the Sunni insurrectionists will counter solided and numerous adversary,in particular,people.That is also not surprising because it is model of civil wars in the historical story.In turn,the most likely outcome of that a vicious stalemate will be in the northern part of Iraq-history and culture divide. The Lebanon in the 1980s, Afghanistan in the 1990s,and even hot of Syria,that is where model of civil wars in stupid of history and culture - vicious stalemate.Unfortunately,the fighting will probably continue for years and hundreds of thousands will die.In short.,台灣窮小子 saying because a Sunni offensive there will further come with Shia defenses. And it can be a key of defense with Ending of history.

2,IRAN WILL BE A CRUX?

Given the various problems on the Shia side on demoralization of history and culture,politicization of money,so,pushes Iraq's change that its is likely to superiority is Iranian participation. On Iraq's its change own,and it is unlikely,in other words,they are only re-integrating Shia forces now to defend Baghdad.So,how will gain Iranian involvement,in particular,commitments of Iranian?After all,Iran just help native force rather than they fight themselves. Nonetheless,Iran is unlikely to improve Iraq's war-fighting capability,but they can start a offensive to take back the Northern Iraq.Consequently, commitment of Iran's involvement,it will be a signal that they take back the Northern Iraq that will be becoming likely.
THE IRAQ SHIA
Indeed,it was began 3-4 years ago when Iraq's President has driven to Sunni warriors  out of the armed forces,to come after them with loyal Shia warriors.As we know current Iraqi forces have sped changing to Shia armed forces.As a result,even the current crisis,the Iraqi forces has been Shia,with fewer Sunnis armed forces.Put simply,it is praetorian with President rather than Iraqi National Force.In turn,Sunnis armed forces seem likely to spread over time.In other words,this is a trend to National civil war,and coming with stupid of history and culture.In turn,National civil war is combining with Iraqi force,so that trend will be likely to continue.This is principal condition,and also,is one of the worst mistakes.Because the US had written an error historical deployment - establishment of professional armed force in the security of the impartial Nation,but ignored stupid of history and culture.So,the US Administration cannot be no longer intervened,otherwise,stupid of history and culture will be able to attack our Nation.

3,IS AN INSURRECTIONIST OF SUNNI,OR NOT?

It is principal to know key points about insurrectionist,in accordance with new model of Iraqi civil war.First, ISIS is a just fundamentally of Sunni militant group rather than the whole Sunni.Consequently,台灣窮小子 is more my preference for stupid of history and culture,and still perfect description of their militance.ISIS has been operating militant concept that they jointed with other Sunni militant group in IRAQ.At least,they keep certainly tacit cooperation.The fighting and occupying are their doctrines,and they are usually indistinguishable between pals and foes,even Iraq's people who are not themselves that they die.So,it is a Iraqi National civil war,rather than a Foreign Invasion.Although,the Iraqi government has emphasized the foreign powers,but the Iraqi religionary groups are is of far greater importance.After all,ISIS has been happening for more than a year.After all,Iraqi government have tried to describe ISIS as a power of foreigners who were stating civil war and than make an invasion of Iraq. If that were true,it would suggest that the military intervention will be great deal of difficulty,so,prime minister of the Iraqi would seek to avoid far-reaching political changes.Therefore,it is critical to we need to know that ISIS who its success is largely determined on Iraq’s political conditions and to be accepted Sunni.Unfortunately,the Sunni just see as an oppressive - the Shia comes first.So,Terrorists only a word.The age-old of history and culture as a practical deployment it is a mistake,so,as a word of terrorist is as being principally of  pretext.While 台灣窮小子 has no doubt that Sunni militants who want to attack the US,but this is not their principal motivation.The point is that traditional history and culture starts National civil war.For example,sich as Taiwan style - 竹篙倒菜刀.So,that's what so many people kissed that stupid of history and culture ass!Instead, ISIS is also not an insurgency,that would like to want a Sunni territory. Especially,it is important if defining the ISIS as as terrorists that means they need to be attacked by the United States. Indeed, such attacks are easily make the situation worse.So,it is trick of stupid of history and culture.

CONCLUSION:

The current is danger in Iraq
We cannot believe simply the Iraq's prime minister with his administration,who has stood the side of Iraq's Sunni and Iranians.That is the only way the Iraq's prime minister with his administration must be able to convince with worldwide.Obviously, a answer to that it will only be provided by history at some future,but condition of stupid of history and culture have been known about what undoubtedly caused the collapse in National security.As a result of this stupid of histrory and culture,the US even worldwide figured out who are the good and and who are the bad ; who are terrorists and who are organized crime.The US will push smart and brave Iraqi.
For example,such as 台灣窮小子 is driving smart and brave Taiwanese to end of history,and give an opportunity to 蔡英文.
Not surprisingly, when this force came under ending of history pressure,it is now being re-integrated,and as a national security force.The US is only providing it with aid if we are given the right status and to turn it back - National capability.

THE END

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